Abstract BLUF++ (dense, decision-ready) The Western Balkans is not “sleepwalking” into war; it is quietly recalibrating for higher-frequency crises under weaker confidence that external dampers will always engage at the same speed and scale. The destabilizer is not necessarily aggressive intent; it is tempo + ambiguity: uneven modernization, alliance-status asymmetries, and political narratives that legitimize … Leggi tutto The Western Balkans Security Recalibration: Asymmetric Modernization, Alliance Geometry and the Emerging Escalation Gap (2026)