Abstract United States and Turkey sustain a multifaceted alliance within NATO, navigating persistent tensions over defense acquisitions and regional proxies while pursuing convergent interests in energy diversification and counterterrorism. Bayesian posteriors on relational stability hover at 0.65-0.85, conditioned on S-400 deactivation pathways and F-35 interoperability safeguards, with adversarial robustness tested against five hypotheses: (H1) Erdogan … Leggi tutto US-Turkey Defense Convergence and Mediterranean Strategic Vectors Amid NATO Evolution