The Nuclear Threshold Fracture: Dual-Theater Escalation Risk in Eurasia and the Middle East (February 2026)

Abstract February 2026 marked one of the most volatile months in global strategic security since the early Cold War. Two separate geopolitical theaters—the Russia-Ukraine war in Europe and the Israel–Iran confrontation in the Middle East—entered phases where nuclear rhetoric, deterrence signaling, and escalation narratives intensified simultaneously. The convergence of these crises creates a systemic risk … Leggi tutto The Nuclear Threshold Fracture: Dual-Theater Escalation Risk in Eurasia and the Middle East (February 2026)