Illicit Convergence at the Periphery: Iran’s Sanctions-Evasion Architecture Under Kinetic Pressure, the Dubai Node, and Africa’s Emerging Role as Relocation Zone for Criminal Infrastructure — A Multi-Domain Intelligence Assessment (April 2026)

Abstract The Structural Argument: Why Kinetic Escalation Produces Criminal Expansion The dominant analytical frameworks applied to the 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis — encompassing military balance assessments, nuclear deterrence calculations, and regional alliance mapping — share a common epistemic blind spot. They treat illicit financial and criminal networks as peripheral consequences of geopolitical conflict rather … Leggi tutto Illicit Convergence at the Periphery: Iran’s Sanctions-Evasion Architecture Under Kinetic Pressure, the Dubai Node, and Africa’s Emerging Role as Relocation Zone for Criminal Infrastructure — A Multi-Domain Intelligence Assessment (April 2026)