Executive summary The maritime balance of power in the Taiwan Strait is undergoing a profound structural shift, characterized by the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) intensifying gray-zone coercion and the Republic of China’s (ROC/Taiwan) transition to a highly integrated, asymmetric defense posture. This strategic dynamic is defined by a race between Taiwan’s ability to operationalize … Leggi tutto The Strait of Friction: A Five-Year Geopolitical and Military Projection of the China-Taiwan Maritime Balance (2026–2031)