Executive Summary The transatlantic security architecture is undergoing irreversible structural fragmentation, catalyzed by a 78% collapse in European trust regarding United States alliance commitments. Driven by Donald Trump’s transactional foreign policy and NATO skepticism, the European Union is accelerating sovereign defense industrialization. Bayesian probability models indicate a 64% likelihood of minilateral European security clusters bypassing … Leggi tutto Transatlantic Fracture: EU Defense Autonomy 5Y