Scope: Italy, the Western Balkan–Croatia–Slovenia–Friuli-Venezia Giulia corridor, the Central Mediterranean and the principal comparable European migration systems during 2025 and 2026 to date, with separate treatment of border detections, national police records, asylum registrations and local field encounters, and with a decision horizon concentrated on measures and legal deadlines falling before the end of 2026. … Leggi tutto Italy’s Irregular-Migration Geometry: Falling Maritime Arrivals, Divergent Balkan Indicators and the Limits of a Single National Number