Executive Summary Moscow’s Escalation Logic: Why Talks May Freeze the War, Not End It Russia’s strategy is no longer intelligible through the conventional opposition between war and negotiation. The Kremlin is conducting both: military pressure alters the bargaining environment, diplomacy tests Western cohesion, nuclear signalling protects escalation space, and hybrid operations extend the confrontation beyond … Leggi tutto Moscow’s Escation Logic: Ukraine War to 2031