Scope: This assessment examines Russian nuclear signalling, threats against European defence-industrial targets, pressure surrounding Kaliningrad, hybrid activity and NATO eastern-flank posture from the doctrinal baseline established in 2024 through 3 October 2026, with a forward horizon covering the next several months and the strategic consequences for Poland, the Baltic region, Italy, France, Germany, the United … Leggi tutto Russia’s Nuclear Coercion Against NATO’s Eastern Flank: Kaliningrad – Ukraine Support and the Risk of a Manufactured Escalation Crisis