Government-Grade Geopolitical Intelligence Assessment | Strategic Horizon: 2027–2031 Executive Summary — Bottom Line Up Front Principal judgment — High confidence: The Russia–Ukraine war remains the central military confrontation shaping European security. Russia retains the capacity to sustain significant military pressure, while Ukraine continues to depend on domestic mobilisation and international military, financial and industrial assistance. … Leggi tutto Russia–Ukraine War and the Fracturing European Security Order: Military Power, Strategic Alliances and the Limits of Diplomacy