Monthly Archives: Luglio 2026
USCG C-UUV Defeat Gap: Undersea Threat Kill-Chain Failure
Executive Summary
The United States Coast Guard is executing Project 25-1061 under its FY26 Research Program Portfolio to develop modular C-UUV defeat capabilities that...
14-Entity Retaliation: EU Sanctions Trigger China Export Curbs
Executive Summary
The European Union and the People’s Republic of China are currently locked in a highly calibrated escalation of reciprocal economic statecraft, fundamentally altering...
Russia’s Subsea Cable Pivot: Arctic Resilience to 2031
Executive Summary
BLUF: Russia’s new submarine-cable manufacturing chain is not merely a telecommunications project; it is an industrial-sovereignty, Arctic-command, economic-security, and strategic-resilience program.
Official June 2026...
Why Israel Now Views Turkiye as a Rising Strategic Rival
Executive Summary
Israeli officials and analysts — including former PM Naftali Bennett and JCFA's Dan Diker — have begun explicitly labeling Turkiye a strategic threat,...
REPORT – Virtual Borders: AI and Cyber Conflict to 2031
Executive Summary
BLUF: Between 2027 and 2031, geopolitical power will increasingly depend on the ability to control, secure, disrupt, reroute and reconstruct the interconnected infrastructure...
Cyber War 2031: AI, Governance and Digital Force
Executive Summary
BLUF: The decisive cyber advantage of 2026–2031 will come from governance speed, not merely from larger hacker cadres, superior malware, or a new...
US Net Oil Export Status Insulates Against Hormuz Closure Risks
Executive Summary
The Hormuz Equation: Structural Asymmetries in Global Energy Security
In the first half of 2025 the Strait of Hormuz carried 20.9 million barrels...
Hormuz Bypass Fallacy: Pipeline Alternatives Lack Capacity
Executive Summary
The strategic imperative to bypass the Strait of Hormuz following its hypothetical closure in February 2026 is fundamentally undermined by geographic, economic, and...
AI Prompt Injection: The Real War for Future Security
Executive Summary
BLUF: The phenomenon described is real, but “hacking an AI” is an imprecise label.Most prompt attacks do not alter the foundation model; they...
Europe’s Terror Threat: Fragmentation, Proxies and AI
Executive Summary
Europe’s terrorist threat is not rising uniformly; it is becoming more fragmented, technologically accelerated and operationally unpredictable.The EU recorded 45 attacks in 2025,...
Eastleigh’s Crime Web: Migration, Corruption and Gangs in “Little Mogadishu”
Executive Summary
Eastleigh, Nairobi's Somali-majority district, sits at the intersection of major economic contribution and acute organized-crime exposure. Climate-driven displacement from Somalia and northern Kenya...
Nuvem Cable: Hyperscaler Sovereignty & EU Cloud Balance
Executive Summary
The deployment of the Nuvem transatlantic submarine cable by Alphabet Inc. fundamentally reconfigures the geopolitical and economic architecture of the European Union digital...
REPORT – Serbia’s Food Reserve: Europe’s Strategic Buffer
Executive Summary
BLUF: Serbia is evolving from a competitive agricultural exporter into a strategically relevant buffer within Europe’s food-supply architecture.The official 2026 wheat estimate is...
Armi robotiche e intelligenza artificiale: il nuovo rischio cyber-fisico
Executive Summary
BLUF: l’esercitazione “Alabarda d’Argento 2026” al Monte Bivera è confermata dall’Esercito Italiano; il presunto sparo anomalo del 10 giugno 2026, la sospensione di...
Total War on Taipei: China’s Cognitive Warfare Doctrine
Executive Summary
In March 2025, China's Central Military Commission-overseen journal Military Art published a concept — "all-domain megacity incapacitation warfare" — describing how to rapidly...
