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Yearly Archives: 2026

Post-Strike Reconstitution of Iranian Aerospace Defense Industries

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This assessment evaluates the industrial damage, supply chain disruption, and reconstitution trajectories of the Islamic Republic of Iran's ballistic missile, cruise missile, and unmanned...

South Africa’s Political Killings and Europe’s Investment Risk

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Scope: This assessment examines targeted political violence surrounding South Africa’s 4 November 2026 municipal elections, its interaction with public governance and organised crime, and...

Azerbaijan–Türkiye: Sovereignty Inside a Strategic Alliance

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Scope: This dossier examines whether Azerbaijan’s recent assertion of domestic political autonomy represents a redefinition of its alliance with Türkiye, assessing the official record...

Burning Plasma, Modular Fission and the Operating Fleet -What China’s BEST – Italy’s Nuclear...

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Evidence cutoff: 6 October 2026. An analytical paper distinguishing research milestones, legal authority, proposed projects and operating electricity supply. Nuclear power needs a delivery programme,...

Hypersonic Power: Who Will Control the Time to Respond?

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This assessment compares the United States, Russia, China and Europe, including France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom, and examines how hypersonic technologies could...

Europe–Russia: Real War Risk and the Business of Rearmament

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Scope: This dossier assesses whether direct conflict between Russia and European NATO members represents a credible security threat or primarily a commercially driven narrative,...

Baghdad’s Sovereignty Runs Through New York

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Scope: This report examines how Iraq’s oil-revenue architecture, access to dollar payments, Iranian aviation links and contested control over armed organisations shape Baghdad’s practical...

Mirrored Empires: Oligarchic Convergence and Its Limits

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Scope: This dossier examines whether Russia, the United States and Italy developed comparable mechanisms connecting concentrated wealth to public power from the late Soviet...

Dark Output: What National Accounts Miss When Artificial Intelligence Shifts Value from Prices to...

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Scope: This report examines the distinction between AI-enabled economic value and measured production, using United States evidence available by 5 October 2026, while identifying...

CASI and the Risk of Losing China Aerospace Expertise

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Scope: This three-chapter assessment examines the institutional continuity of the United States’ China Aerospace Studies Institute, the consequences for understanding Chinese aerospace power, and...

REPORT – Italy’s Nuclear Relaunch: Law – Water and Industrial Risk

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Scope: This dossier assesses Italy’s proposed return to civil nuclear generation, its technological, environmental, security and institutional prerequisites, and the relevant European comparisons, using...

REPORT – Quantum Technologies 2026–2031: A Separation of Demonstrated Capability – Funded Programme and...

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Scope: This dossier assesses the distinct trajectories of quantum computing, quantum communications and cryptography, and quantum sensing through 2031, separating civilian and military applications...

Hormuz Bypasses: Oil Routes That Relocate the Chokepoint

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Scope: This assessment examines Saudi, Emirati and Iraqi alternatives to the Strait of Hormuz, their downstream maritime and overland dependencies, and the implications for...

Italy’s Carbon-Industrial Exposure After the 2025 Emissions Print: ETS – ETS2 – CBAM –...

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Scope: This dossier examines Italy's exposure from 2026 through 2030 to the interaction between the EU ETS, ETS2, CBAM, internationally priced gas, electricity-market formation,...

Convergenza dei servizi domestici: Enel Mobile vs Polo Poste-TIM nel mercato italiano

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Scope: Analisi strategica e regolatoria della riconfigurazione dei servizi alla casa e alla persona in Italia a seguito del lancio di Enel Mobile e...