Monthly Archives: Settembre 2026
Saudi Arabia’s Two-Front Fiscal Test: War Risk, Oil Corridors and the Repricing of Vision...
Scope: This assessment examines Saudi Arabia through September 26, 2026, focusing on the interaction between wartime energy-security expenditure, disruption of oil-export infrastructure, sovereign financing...
AI-Enabled Fraud Against Credit Institutions: Identity Collapse – Payment Authorisation Failures and the Incomplete...
Scope
This assessment examines the February 2026 Fideuram–Intesa Sanpaolo fraud disclosed on 25 September 2026, the September 2026 Revolut government-domain impersonation incident, and the regulatory...
Ukraine’s External Financing Architecture and Corruption Risk: United States, European Union, and Major Bilateral...
Scope: This assessment maps external financing and military-support channels available to Ukraine from 24 February 2022 through Q3 2026, distinguishes funds that enter Ukrainian...
Italy’s Irregular-Migration Geometry: Falling Maritime Arrivals, Divergent Balkan Indicators and the Limits of a...
Scope: Italy, the Western Balkan–Croatia–Slovenia–Friuli-Venezia Giulia corridor, the Central Mediterranean and the principal comparable European migration systems during 2025 and 2026 to date, with...
REPORT – China: AI Will Not Be Bought — It Will Be Chosen the...
Scope
This assessment examines the proposition that the strategic contest in artificial intelligence is moving away from a narrow competition over which company possesses the...
Lebanon’s Partition by Time: State-Building, Security Conditionality and the Post-UNIFIL Contest
Scope: This assessment examines whether developments from the 2024 cessation-of-hostilities architecture through 25 September 2026 support the proposition that Lebanon is moving toward a...
Drone Warfare After Mass: The Next Contest Is Autonomy, Resilience and Industrial Tempo
Scope: This assessment examines the observable evolution of military unmanned warfare from September 2026 through an indicative five-year horizon, with primary attention to the...
Structural Mismatch and Labor Market Dynamics in Italy: Navigating the 565000 Enterprise Hiring Demand...
Scope: Comprehensive institutional evaluation of the structural labor market mismatch in Italy, detailing the 565,000 projected monthly hirings, candidate scarcity, specialized skills deficits, and...
Iran’s Janfadaa Mobilization: From Mass Civilian Registration to a Distributed National-Resistance Architecture
Scope
This assessment examines Iran’s Janfadaa-ye Iran mobilization from its emergence in spring 2026 through 24 September 2026, focusing on whether the reported registration of...
REPORT – Italy’s Public Accounts Under Scrutiny: What the 2025 Fiscal Revision Actually Establishes
Scope: This report reconstructs the Italian fiscal position from the official statistical and institutional record, examines the September 2026 revision of the 2025 national...
India–CELAC: From $50 Billion Trade to a Deeper Economic Architecture
Scope: This assessment examines the emerging India–CELAC economic and development relationship, with particular attention to trade, market-access architecture, investment and development cooperation, technology and...
Bab el-Mandeb: When Maritime Chokepoint Risk Becomes Digital-System Risk
Scope — This assessment examines the Bab el-Mandeb–Red Sea–Suez system as a converged maritime-security environment in which Houthi missile and unmanned-system capabilities, merchant-shipping exposure,...
North Korea’s September 20 Weapon Test: From Missile Expansion to a More Complex Regional...
Scope — This assessment examines the DPRK weapon activity of 20 September 2026, the subsequent North Korean claim that a “new-type weapon” was successfully...
Iran’s Distributional Stress Test: War Finance – Household Exposure and the Resilience Gap with...
Scope: This assessment examines how war, sanctions, financial isolation, energy and trade disruption are transmitting into Iranian household welfare in 2025–2026, compares the transmission...
EU Cyber Resilience Act Reporting Rules Go Live as ENISA’s Single Reporting Platform Changes...
Scope: This assessment examines the Cyber Resilience Act reporting regime now applicable across the European Union, the operational launch of European Union Agency for...
