Home 2026
Yearly Archives: 2026
Iran and the Restructuring of Regional Security: The Tehran Summit – the Mecca Defence...
Scope: This assessment examines the 26 October 2026 quadrilateral security meeting in Tehran, the emerging Saudi–Turkish–Pakistani defence framework, Iran’s strategic position, the Yemen conflict,...
France’s Sovereign Crisis and Europe’s Institutional Future: Integration, Rebalancing or Fragmentation?
Strategic assessment of the French political and sovereign-debt crisis, the emerging Franco-German sovereignist alternative, and Italy’s capacity to influence European institutional and financial policy...
Europe’s Refining Reversal: Energy Security – Defence Readiness and the Cost of Lost Industrial...
EUROPEAN STRATEGIC ENERGY AND DEFENCE-INDUSTRIAL INTELLIGENCE REPORT | 2026–2031 OUTLOOK
Scope: Assessment of the European Commission's 28 October 2026 High-Level Dialogue on oil refining, covering...
Italy’s Pharmaceutical Transformation 2000–2025: Industrial Scale – Foreign Expansion and the Battle for Technological...
Employment growth, corporate consolidation, research capabilities, ownership structures, advanced manufacturing and the strategic future of ten Italian pharmaceutical groups.
Executive Summary / Bottom Line Up...
Beyond Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb: Reengineering the Global Oil Transit System
Saudi Arabia, the Arabian Peninsula, Iraq, the Red Sea, the Eastern Mediterranean and the emerging architecture of alternative energy corridors
Scope: A geopolitical, engineering, financial...
Europe’s Automotive Transition: The Risk of Electrification Without European Manufacturing
Volvo Cars' Q3 2026 losses, China's industrial expansion, and the widening divergence between EU decarbonisation requirements and European automotive competitiveness
Scope: This assessment examines the...
Russia’s Africa Arms Diplomacy: Advanced UAVs – Air Defence and the Contest for Military...
As of: 2026-10-28 | Geographic focus: Africa, Russia and competing external defence suppliers | Strategic horizon: 2026–2031
Strategic Assessment of the Third Russia–Africa Summit, Moscow,...
Who Controls AI Morality? The Private Governance of Machine Values and the Future of...
Strategic assessment of frontier AI alignment, religious and philosophical consultation, cultural pluralism, institutional authority, and democratic control
Scope: Global frontier AI governance, with particular attention...
Armenia’s EAEU Treaty Crisis: Strategic Autonomy – Economic Leverage and the Limits of Russian...
The 20 October 2026 initiative by Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, Armenia's legal response, and the consequences for the durability of Eurasian integration and...
Algeria’s Niger Move: Doctrine – Energy and Sahel Order
Algeria’s Niger Move: Doctrine, Energy and Sahel Order
This assessment is confined to the confirmed record of 25–27 October 2026, covers Algeria, Niger, the central...
High-Altitude Balloons and the Transformation of Long-Range Warfare: Strategic Reach – Air-Defence Saturation and...
Scope: Strategic assessment of the re-emergence of military high-altitude balloons and aerostats, examining operational developments in the Ukraine–Russia conflict, United States and Chinese military...
Afghanistan’s Armed Resistance: The Limits of Taliban Power and the Prospects for Political Change
Strategic assessment of insurgent capabilities, territorial control, regional intervention, institutional legitimacy and the future of Afghan sovereignty
Scope: This assessment examines Afghanistan's political and security...
Iraq at the Crossroads: Border Sovereignty, Economic Coercion and the Reconfiguration of West Asian...
The strategic consequences of Baghdad’s confrontation with Iran, American financial leverage, regional infrastructure competition and the struggle for control of Middle Eastern connectivity
Geographic scope:...
Tehran and the Emerging Architecture of Regional Security: Saudi Arabia – Türkiye – Pakistan...
Strategic Governance, Defence-Industrial Integration, Intelligence Cooperation and Technological Sovereignty
Scope: This assessment examines the quadrilateral diplomatic initiative involving Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan and Iran in...
China’s Fifth South China Sea Airfield: Antelope Reef and the Transformation of Indo-Pacific Air...
Strategic assessment of the expansion of Chinese forward aviation infrastructure, the emergence of an interconnected South China Sea operating network, and the implications for...
